2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Purdue @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreToss-up

Purdue

25.6

Nebraska

26.7

Nebraska win probability: 52%

Margin (Nebraska − Purdue): 1.1 (80% range -19 to 21)

Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Purdue 14 – Nebraska 31 (margin error 15.9, total error 7.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.