Purdue
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 | vs Notre Dame | 66–7 | 32.7–21.0 | 47.3 |
| Week 4 | @ Oregon State | 38–21 | 33.0–22.1 | 6.1 |
| Week 5 | vs Nebraska | 28–10 | 29.2–21.4 | 10.1 |
| Week 6 | @ Wisconsin | 52–6 | 30.7–20.5 | 35.8 |
| Week 7 | @ Illinois | 50–49 | 34.5–18.6 | 14.9 |
| Week 8 | vs Oregon | 35–0 | 40.3–19.7 | 14.4 |
| Week 10 | vs Northwestern | 26–20 | 26.7–21.9 | 1.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Ohio State | 45–0 | 45.9–11.5 | 10.6 |
| Week 12 | vs Penn State | 49–10 | 39.3–16.0 | 15.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Michigan State | 24–17 | 32.3–22.2 | 3.2 |
| Week 14 | @ Indiana | 66–0 | 41.4–17.9 | 42.5 |