2024 Week 4 · Sep 22, 2024, 12:30 AM · Reser Stadium
Purdue @ Oregon State
Predicted scoreLikely
Purdue
22.1
Oregon State
33.0
Oregon State win probability: 75%
Margin (Oregon State − Purdue): 10.9 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Purdue 21 – Oregon State 38 (margin error 6.1, total error 3.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.