2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Penn State @ Purdue
Predicted scoreConfident
Penn State
39.3
Purdue
16.0
Purdue win probability: 8%
Margin (Purdue − Penn State): -23.3 (80% range -45 to -3)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 33 to 79)
Actual: Penn State 49 – Purdue 10 (margin error 15.7, total error 3.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.78% |
| 35 | 10 | 0.73% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.