Predicted scoreConfident
Oregon
40.3
Purdue
19.7
Purdue win probability: 10%
Margin (Purdue − Oregon): -20.6 (80% range -42 to 0)
Total: 60.0 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Oregon 35 – Purdue 0 (margin error 14.4, total error 25.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 35 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.