Predicted scoreLikely
Purdue
20.5
Wisconsin
30.7
Wisconsin win probability: 74%
Margin (Wisconsin − Purdue): 10.2 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Purdue 6 – Wisconsin 52 (margin error 35.8, total error 6.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.