Predicted scoreLean
Nebraska
29.2
Purdue
21.4
Purdue win probability: 31%
Margin (Purdue − Nebraska): -7.9 (80% range -28 to 13)
Total: 50.6 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Nebraska 28 – Purdue 10 (margin error 10.1, total error 12.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.