2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 5:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Purdue @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Purdue
11.5
Ohio State
45.9
Ohio State win probability: 99%
Margin (Ohio State − Purdue): 34.4 (80% range 14 to 56)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Purdue 0 – Ohio State 45 (margin error 10.6, total error 12.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 45 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.93% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.90% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 52 | 0.86% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.