Purdue
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Ball State | 0–31 | 25.1–32.2 | 23.9 |
| Week 3 | vs USC | 33–17 | 37.9–20.0 | 1.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Notre Dame | 56–30 | 38.2–15.0 | 2.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Illinois | 43–27 | 33.3–24.4 | 7.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Minnesota | 27–20 | 27.4–23.3 | 3.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Northwestern | 19–0 | 29.5–22.8 | 12.3 |
| Week 9 | vs Rutgers | 27–24 | 30.5–32.5 | 5.0 |
| Week 10 | @ Michigan | 21–16 | 32.5–19.7 | 7.8 |
| Week 11 | vs Ohio State | 34–10 | 38.6–15.9 | 1.2 |
| Week 12 | @ Washington | 49–13 | 32.4–20.5 | 24.1 |
| Week 14 | vs Indiana | 56–3 | 40.0–16.6 | 29.6 |