2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 6:00 PM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Ohio State @ Purdue
Predicted scoreConfident
Ohio State
38.6
Purdue
15.9
Purdue win probability: 7%
Margin (Purdue − Ohio State): -22.8 (80% range -43 to -3)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Ohio State 34 – Purdue 10 (margin error 1.2, total error 10.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.73% |
| 38 | 7 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.68% |
| 45 | 10 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.