Predicted scoreToss-up
Rutgers
30.5
Purdue
32.5
Purdue win probability: 55%
Margin (Purdue − Rutgers): 2.0 (80% range -20 to 24)
Total: 63.0 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: Rutgers 27 – Purdue 24 (margin error 5.0, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.