Predicted scoreConfident
Indiana
40.0
Purdue
16.6
Purdue win probability: 8%
Margin (Purdue − Indiana): -23.4 (80% range -45 to -3)
Total: 56.5 (80% range 34 to 81)
Actual: Indiana 56 – Purdue 3 (margin error 29.6, total error 2.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.86% |
| 38 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.