2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:00 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

Purdue @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLean

Purdue

22.8

Northwestern

29.5

Northwestern win probability: 66%

Margin (Northwestern − Purdue): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Purdue 0 – Northwestern 19 (margin error 12.3, total error 33.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.