2024 Week 10 · Nov 2, 2024, 4:00 PM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Northwestern @ Purdue
Predicted scoreLean
Northwestern
26.7
Purdue
21.9
Purdue win probability: 38%
Margin (Purdue − Northwestern): -4.8 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Northwestern 26 – Purdue 20 (margin error 1.2, total error 2.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.