Predicted scoreLean
Indiana
26.0
Purdue
30.8
Purdue win probability: 62%
Margin (Purdue − Indiana): 4.8 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Indiana 31 – Purdue 35 (margin error 0.8, total error 9.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.