2023 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2023, 4:00 PM · Ross-Ade Stadium
Ohio State @ Purdue
Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio State
36.1
Purdue
19.3
Purdue win probability: 15%
Margin (Purdue − Ohio State): -16.8 (80% range -38 to 4)
Total: 55.3 (80% range 32 to 80)
Actual: Ohio State 41 – Purdue 7 (margin error 17.2, total error 7.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | 10 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.