Predicted scoreLikely
Syracuse
22.3
Purdue
31.7
Purdue win probability: 72%
Margin (Purdue − Syracuse): 9.4 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Syracuse 35 – Purdue 20 (margin error 24.4, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.