Predicted scoreLean
Purdue
24.5
UCLA
29.9
UCLA win probability: 63%
Margin (UCLA − Purdue): 5.4 (80% range -15 to 25)
Total: 54.3 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.79% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:42 PM | 5.3 | 54.1 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:48 PM | 5.4 | 54.3 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:34 PM | 5.4 | 54.3 | 63% |