Predicted scoreConfident
Purdue
13.2
Indiana
42.6
Indiana win probability: 97%
Margin (Indiana − Purdue): 29.4 (80% range 8 to 50)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.86% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.73% |
| 7 | 45 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 42 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:03 PM | 29.4 | 55.8 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:03 PM | 29.4 | 55.8 | 97% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:29 PM | 29.4 | 55.8 | 97% |