Predicted scoreToss-up
Maryland
27.7
Purdue
26.0
Purdue win probability: 46%
Margin (Purdue − Maryland): -1.8 (80% range -22 to 18)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:20 PM | -1.8 | 53.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:18 PM | -1.8 | 53.7 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:13 PM | -1.8 | 53.7 | 46% |