Ohio State

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	@ USC	24.7–33.4	70%
Week 10	vs Oregon	17.8–29.7	78%
Week 11	vs Northwestern	21.0–32.2	76%
Week 12	@ Nebraska	22.7–29.0	65%
Week 13	vs Michigan	16.8–31.7	83%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Ball State	3–56	4.1–45.1	12.0
Week 2	@ Texas	24–23	23.7–27.7	5.0
Week 3	vs Kent State	3–59	4.7–48.9	11.8
Week 4	vs Illinois	19–42	16.5–39.2	0.3
Week 5	@ Iowa	14–31	20.5–25.4	12.1
Week 6	vs Maryland	16–45	10.8–40.6	0.8
Week 7	@ Indiana	15–19	28.8–26.5	6.3