2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Ohio Stadium
Northwestern @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Northwestern
14.2
Ohio State
35.7
Ohio State win probability: 92%
Margin (Ohio State − Northwestern): 21.5 (80% range 1 to 42)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 28 | 0.84% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:33 PM | 21.5 | 49.9 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:29 PM | 21.6 | 50.0 | 92% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:50 PM | 21.5 | 50.0 | 92% |