2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Ohio State @ Indiana
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
22.8
Indiana
29.7
Indiana win probability: 67%
Margin (Indiana − Ohio State): 6.9 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:31 PM | 6.9 | 52.4 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:36 PM | 6.9 | 52.4 | 66% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:05 PM | 6.9 | 52.4 | 67% |