2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Kent State @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
4.7
Ohio State
48.9
Ohio State win probability: 100%
Margin (Ohio State − Kent State): 44.2 (80% range 24 to 66)
Total: 53.6 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Kent State 3 – Ohio State 59 (margin error 11.8, total error 8.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 45 | 2.26% |
| 0 | 38 | 1.91% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.86% |
| 0 | 49 | 1.80% |
| 0 | 52 | 1.79% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:37 PM | 42.4 | 51.3 | 100% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:36 PM | 42.3 | 51.1 | 100% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:57 PM | 42.6 | 51.6 | 100% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:44:35 AM | 42.2 | 51.3 | 100% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:23 PM | 42.8 | 51.8 | 100% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:58:32 PM | 42.0 | 51.1 | 100% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:52:10 PM | 44.8 | 54.2 | 100% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:56:01 PM | 44.2 | 53.6 | 100% |