2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 4:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Kent State @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
4.5
Ohio State
47.1
Ohio State win probability: 100%
Margin (Ohio State − Kent State): 42.6 (80% range 21 to 64)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 31 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 2.17% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.94% |
| 0 | 35 | 1.92% |
| 0 | 42 | 1.85% |
| 0 | 52 | 1.85% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:37 PM | 42.4 | 51.3 | 100% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:36 PM | 42.3 | 51.1 | 100% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:57 PM | 42.6 | 51.6 | 100% |