2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Ohio Stadium
Maryland @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Maryland
13.8
Ohio State
37.2
Ohio State win probability: 93%
Margin (Ohio State − Maryland): 23.3 (80% range 3 to 44)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:22 PM | 24.5 | 51.0 | 94% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:22 PM | 23.3 | 51.0 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:22 PM | 23.3 | 51.0 | 93% |