2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Ohio State @ Nebraska
Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio State
33.4
Nebraska
17.9
Nebraska win probability: 16%
Margin (Nebraska − Ohio State): -15.5 (80% range -35 to 4)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.89% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:50 PM | -15.4 | 51.2 | 16% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:52 PM | -15.4 | 51.2 | 16% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:24 PM | -15.5 | 51.2 | 16% |