2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:30 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Ohio State @ Texas
Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio State
30.1
Texas
21.2
Texas win probability: 29%
Margin (Texas − Ohio State): -8.9 (80% range -29 to 11)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:27 PM | -8.5 | 51.2 | 29% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:32 PM | -8.3 | 51.4 | 30% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:46 PM | -8.9 | 51.3 | 29% |