Ohio State
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Indiana | 3–23 | 17.9–42.4 | 4.5 |
| Week 3 | vs Western Kentucky | 10–63 | 17.5–39.3 | 31.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Notre Dame | 14–17 | 26.0–29.8 | 0.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Maryland | 17–37 | 23.2–35.8 | 7.4 |
| Week 7 | @ Purdue | 7–41 | 19.3–36.1 | 17.2 |
| Week 8 | vs Penn State | 12–20 | 24.1–30.0 | 2.1 |
| Week 9 | @ Wisconsin | 10–24 | 20.7–31.5 | 3.2 |
| Week 10 | @ Rutgers | 16–35 | 18.4–31.2 | 6.2 |
| Week 11 | vs Michigan State | 3–38 | 13.7–35.8 | 12.8 |
| Week 12 | vs Minnesota | 3–37 | 16.2–38.2 | 12.0 |
| Week 13 | @ Michigan | 30–24 | 29.6–23.1 | 0.4 |
| Week 1 | vs Missouri | 14–3 | 18.7–40.5 | 32.8 |