2023 Week 1 · Sep 2, 2023, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Ohio State @ Indiana

Predicted scoreConfident

Ohio State

42.4

Indiana

17.9

Indiana win probability: 7%

Margin (Indiana − Ohio State): -24.5 (80% range -46 to -3)

Total: 60.3 (80% range 37 to 86)

Actual: Ohio State 23 – Indiana 3 (margin error 4.5, total error 34.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.