2023 Postseason · Dec 30, 2023, 1:00 AM · AT&T Stadium (neutral site)

Missouri @ Ohio State

Predicted scoreConfident

Missouri

18.7

Ohio State

40.5

Ohio State win probability: 91%

Margin (Ohio State − Missouri): 21.8 (80% range 0 to 42)

Total: 59.2 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Missouri 14 – Ohio State 3 (margin error 32.8, total error 42.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.