2023 Week 9 · Oct 28, 2023, 11:30 PM · Camp Randall Stadium

Ohio State @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLikely

Ohio State

31.5

Wisconsin

20.7

Wisconsin win probability: 25%

Margin (Wisconsin − Ohio State): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Ohio State 24 – Wisconsin 10 (margin error 3.2, total error 18.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.