2023 Week 11 · Nov 12, 2023, 12:30 AM · Ohio Stadium
Michigan State @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Michigan State
13.7
Ohio State
35.8
Ohio State win probability: 92%
Margin (Ohio State − Michigan State): 22.2 (80% range 3 to 42)
Total: 49.5 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: Michigan State 3 – Ohio State 38 (margin error 12.8, total error 8.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 1.03% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.94% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.