2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 4:00 PM · SHI Stadium
Ohio State @ Rutgers
Predicted scoreLikely
Ohio State
31.2
Rutgers
18.4
Rutgers win probability: 20%
Margin (Rutgers − Ohio State): -12.8 (80% range -32 to 7)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Ohio State 35 – Rutgers 16 (margin error 6.2, total error 1.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 14 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.