2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 4:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Penn State @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLean
Penn State
24.1
Ohio State
30.0
Ohio State win probability: 64%
Margin (Ohio State − Penn State): 5.9 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 54.1 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Penn State 12 – Ohio State 20 (margin error 2.1, total error 22.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.59% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.