Ohio State
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Texas | 7–14 | 18.0–32.8 | 7.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Ohio | 9–37 | 14.1–37.0 | 5.1 |
| Week 5 | @ Washington | 6–24 | 22.9–28.6 | 12.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Minnesota | 3–42 | 13.0–33.6 | 18.4 |
| Week 7 | @ Illinois | 16–34 | 22.1–33.0 | 7.1 |
| Week 8 | @ Wisconsin | 0–34 | 14.5–34.4 | 14.1 |
| Week 10 | vs Penn State | 14–38 | 19.8–33.5 | 10.3 |
| Week 11 | @ Purdue | 10–34 | 15.9–38.6 | 1.2 |
| Week 12 | vs UCLA | 10–48 | 15.3–40.1 | 13.3 |
| Week 13 | vs Rutgers | 9–42 | 17.2–42.6 | 7.6 |
| Week 14 | @ Michigan | 9–27 | 20.9–30.4 | 8.5 |
| Week 15 | vs Indiana | 13–10 | 28.1–25.0 | 0.2 |
| Week 1 | vs Miami | 24–14 | 23.6–37.3 | 23.7 |