2025 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2025, 1:00 AM · Lucas Oil Stadium (neutral site)

Indiana @ Ohio State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Indiana

28.1

Ohio State

25.0

Ohio State win probability: 42%

Margin (Ohio State − Indiana): -3.2 (80% range -24 to 17)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Indiana 13 – Ohio State 10 (margin error 0.2, total error 30.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.