2025 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2025, 12:30 AM · Ohio Stadium
UCLA @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
UCLA
15.3
Ohio State
40.1
Ohio State win probability: 94%
Margin (Ohio State − UCLA): 24.7 (80% range 4 to 46)
Total: 55.4 (80% range 32 to 80)
Actual: UCLA 10 – Ohio State 48 (margin error 13.3, total error 2.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.