2025 Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025, 7:30 PM · Husky Stadium
Ohio State @ Washington
Predicted scoreLean
Ohio State
28.6
Washington
22.9
Washington win probability: 36%
Margin (Washington − Ohio State): -5.7 (80% range -25 to 14)
Total: 51.5 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Ohio State 24 – Washington 6 (margin error 12.3, total error 21.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.