2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 4:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)

Ohio State @ Illinois

Predicted scoreLikely

Ohio State

33.0

Illinois

22.1

Illinois win probability: 25%

Margin (Illinois − Ohio State): -10.9 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Ohio State 34 – Illinois 16 (margin error 7.1, total error 5.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.