2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 4:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Texas @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLikely
Texas
18.0
Ohio State
32.8
Ohio State win probability: 82%
Margin (Ohio State − Texas): 14.7 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Texas 7 – Ohio State 14 (margin error 7.7, total error 29.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.