2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 7:30 PM · Camp Randall Stadium
Ohio State @ Wisconsin
Predicted scoreConfident
Ohio State
34.4
Wisconsin
14.5
Wisconsin win probability: 9%
Margin (Wisconsin − Ohio State): -19.9 (80% range -40 to 0)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Actual: Ohio State 34 – Wisconsin 0 (margin error 14.1, total error 14.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 10 | 0.95% |
| 38 | 14 | 0.80% |
| 31 | 7 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.74% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.