Northwestern

Big Ten

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Rutgers	20.5–39.2	87%
Week 9	@ Oregon	28.1–22.4	36%
Week 10	vs Iowa	24.7–27.2	56%
Week 11	@ Ohio State	32.2–21.0	24%
Week 12	@ Minnesota	18.7–30.1	77%
Week 13	vs Illinois	24.3–35.0	74%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs South Dakota State	18–34	—	—
Week 3	vs Colorado	7–41	22.8–28.3	28.5
Week 4	@ Indiana	29–23	38.2–14.9	17.3
Week 5	vs Penn State	13–34	24.8–27.7	18.2
Week 6	vs Ball State	14–45	9.5–43.4	2.8
Week 7	@ Michigan State	21–24	21.0–33.3	9.3