Northwestern
Big Ten
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Rutgers | 24–7 | 24.7–25.1 | 17.4 |
| Week 2 | vs UTEP | 7–38 | 19.3–31.8 | 18.5 |
| Week 3 | @ Duke | 38–14 | 31.0–21.6 | 14.6 |
| Week 4 | vs Minnesota | 34–37 | 26.8–24.9 | 4.9 |
| Week 5 | vs Penn State | 41–13 | 34.1–22.4 | 16.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Nebraska | 17–9 | 28.9–24.9 | 4.1 |
| Week 9 | vs Maryland | 27–33 | 33.0–24.0 | 15.0 |
| Week 10 | vs Iowa | 10–7 | 22.6–20.3 | 0.6 |
| Week 11 | @ Wisconsin | 10–24 | 30.0–21.3 | 22.7 |
| Week 12 | vs Purdue | 15–23 | 27.0–28.3 | 6.7 |
| Week 13 | @ Illinois | 43–45 | 27.7–24.9 | 4.8 |
| Week 1 | vs Utah | 7–14 | 35.4–16.4 | 26.1 |