2023 Week 11 · Nov 11, 2023, 8:30 PM · Camp Randall Stadium

Northwestern @ Wisconsin

Predicted scoreLikely

Northwestern

21.3

Wisconsin

30.0

Wisconsin win probability: 71%

Margin (Wisconsin − Northwestern): 8.7 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Northwestern 24 – Wisconsin 10 (margin error 22.7, total error 17.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.