Northwestern
Big Ten
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Miami (OH) | 6–13 | 21.8–28.0 | 0.8 |
| Week 2 | vs Duke | 26–20 | 26.8–25.3 | 4.5 |
| Week 4 | @ Washington | 24–5 | 34.7–18.8 | 3.2 |
| Week 6 | vs Indiana | 41–24 | 33.2–20.7 | 4.5 |
| Week 7 | @ Maryland | 10–37 | 33.0–17.8 | 42.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Wisconsin | 23–3 | 27.6–18.0 | 10.4 |
| Week 9 | @ Iowa | 40–14 | 25.6–17.8 | 18.2 |
| Week 10 | @ Purdue | 20–26 | 21.9–26.7 | 1.2 |
| Week 12 | vs Ohio State | 31–7 | 38.2–11.0 | 3.2 |
| Week 13 | @ Michigan | 50–6 | 28.4–15.5 | 31.1 |
| Week 14 | vs Illinois | 38–28 | 29.6–20.1 | 0.5 |