2024 Week 8 · Oct 19, 2024, 4:00 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium (neutral site)

Wisconsin @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLikely

Wisconsin

27.6

Northwestern

18.0

Northwestern win probability: 26%

Margin (Northwestern − Wisconsin): -9.6 (80% range -29 to 10)

Total: 45.6 (80% range 24 to 68)

Actual: Wisconsin 23 – Northwestern 3 (margin error 10.4, total error 19.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.