2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 7:30 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium (neutral site)

Miami (OH) @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLean

Miami (OH)

21.8

Northwestern

28.0

Northwestern win probability: 65%

Margin (Northwestern − Miami (OH)): 6.2 (80% range -14 to 27)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Miami (OH) 6 – Northwestern 13 (margin error 0.8, total error 30.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.