2024 Week 6 · Oct 5, 2024, 7:30 PM · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium (neutral site)

Indiana @ Northwestern

Predicted scoreLikely

Indiana

33.2

Northwestern

20.7

Northwestern win probability: 22%

Margin (Northwestern − Indiana): -12.5 (80% range -34 to 7)

Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Indiana 41 – Northwestern 24 (margin error 4.5, total error 11.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.