Northwestern
Big Ten
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Tulane | 23–3 | 28.5–22.2 | 13.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Oregon | 34–14 | 30.1–20.3 | 10.2 |
| Week 5 | vs UCLA | 14–17 | 21.0–28.8 | 4.8 |
| Week 6 | vs UL Monroe | 7–42 | 18.4–28.6 | 24.8 |
| Week 7 | @ Penn State | 21–22 | 32.9–19.1 | 14.8 |
| Week 8 | vs Purdue | 0–19 | 22.8–29.5 | 12.3 |
| Week 9 | @ Nebraska | 28–21 | 25.5–21.7 | 3.3 |
| Week 11 | @ USC | 38–17 | 33.6–21.9 | 9.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Michigan | 24–22 | 27.4–21.8 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Minnesota | 35–38 | 22.4–24.0 | 1.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Illinois | 20–13 | 29.2–23.8 | 1.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Central Michigan | 7–34 | 19.7–27.0 | 19.7 |