2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 4:00 PM · Yulman Stadium
Northwestern @ Tulane
Predicted scoreLean
Northwestern
22.2
Tulane
28.5
Tulane win probability: 65%
Margin (Tulane − Northwestern): 6.3 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Northwestern 3 – Tulane 23 (margin error 13.7, total error 24.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.